The latest Panelbase survey for The Sunday Time shows those aged 16 to 35 back independence by 62 per cent, compared to 48 per cent for Scottish voters as a whole. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Majority of people support NEU teacher strikes, YouGov poll finds Dorset Live 14:59 6-Feb-23. Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? Tory Votes: YouGov Poll Shows Rishi Sunak Losing Leadership Race in YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's . Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' what number would you consider yourself to be?". UK's Labour has 33-pt lead over ruling Conservatives -YouGov poll All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. The latest survey from YouGov has put Labour on 46% and the . Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats have 9% of the vote (no change), while the Greens have 7% (-1) and Reform UK have 3% of the vote (no change). Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. Use at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. More Scots are seeing the reality of SNP rule. Latest Opinion Polls - The Result Of A General Election Today As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote, and from 40 per cent to 36 per cent in the regional vote and from 43 per cent to 42 per cent for Westminster. Trump. In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. What has happened to the once-great British Airways? should not be a referendum on Scottish Company number: SC669393. SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. The latest Panelbase survey. The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. With the Conservatives polling over 50%, this lead briefly surpassed 20% at the beginning of the Covid pandemic in March and April 2020. Politics.co.uks current Westminster projections are also drawn through an aggregate extrapolation of the data on election polls. Savanta ComRes said that the poll result "should not be treated as a headline Savanta ComRes voting intention". ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. This page will bring you the latest breaking headlines, and updates automatically and continuously 24/7. @BritainElects. Most Recent Independence Poll, YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 No Yes Don't Know Headline Excluding Don't Knows 49% (+1) 54% (+1 / -1) 42% (nc) 46% (-1 / +1) 9% (-2) By-Elections By-elections By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone February 27, 2023 Comments Off and given the options of "Yes" and "No". Six reasons Labour might not win the next election alone, Urban Flight A real threat to many formerly safe seats in the Blue Wall. Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. A YouGov poll published this morning (2 March) makes encouraging reading for the Prime Minister. With the Russian invasion of Ukraine heavily dominating the UK news agenda, the position of the UKs political parties became somewhat becalmed during the spring on 2022 with no notable movements in the polls. YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. Public Opinion Polls - For Women Scotland The latest opinion polling from outlet YouGov shows respondents relatively downbeat on the state of the US economy over the next six months, anticipating that inflation will rise, there will be further interest rate hikes, and gas prices will increase. The rank outsider to become First Minister has only received the public backing of one serving politician, Joanna Cherry, amid struggles to get her campaign going. N.B. Nicola Sturgeon Expected To Resign As Scottish First Minister Today But Why? ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. In all polls the dont knows are removed. There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic. Slovakia's Smer back on top of opinion polls ahead of snap election bne IntelliNews 10:02 27-Feb-23. Much of the YouGov poll's Labour lead was buoyed by 17% of people who had previously voted for Boris Johnson saying they would now vote for Labour - double that of a week ago. Poll tracker: how will the SNP fare in Scotland's May elections? backed Scotland becoming an independent country. The table also lists some events that may have impacted on polling returns, including the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, the Covid pandemic in Scotland and party leadership changes. In early November 2021, the furore over the resignation of the Conservative MP Owen Patterson saw the trend Conservative vote share fall by a further 3%. The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Voters head to polls across Scotland, Wales and England for devolved Forgot your password? Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??". Poll Analysis: YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 - Ballot Box Scotland Does Douglas Alexanders comeback herald the return of Labours Blairites? All Rights Reserved. Consumer packaged goods (CPG) Eating & drinking. Humza Yousaf 'should be anti-nationalist choice' for First Minister - because he's so useless, The Majority reckons the health secretary will create a 'raging bin fire' for the SNP if he gets the keys to Bute House when the party votes on a new leader, Prince Harry and Meghan Markle 'OK' about leaving Frogmore Cottage following Buckingham Palace's eviction, The couple are said to have accepted that they were privileged to have a house in the US and the UK, Rangers XI v Kilmarnock as Michael Beale starts Nicolas Raskin and Todd Cantwell after Celtic final defeat, New January recruits return to the first team after their shock Hampden omission, Manchester United hero Nicky Butt 'hated' Aberdeen interview process as he admits 'sick' feeling of manager talks, The Old Trafford Class of 92' hero spoke to several suitors including Aberdeen in 2021, SNP blasted for 'dragging their heels' over dangerous cladding programme as they spend less than 1m of 97m funding pot. July 9, 2020 YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal fur and do support a #FurFreeBritain; Government urged to end UK fur sales RT-Images/iStock.com Red fox lying in leaves LONDONBritish citizens overwhelmingly agree that the time has come for Britain to be fur-free. Poll: DeSantis surges to 5-point lead over weakened Trump in 2024 In response to the Redfield and Wilton poll, Scots Labour peer Lord Foulkes tweeted: "SNP on the slide. Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). The Conservatives continued to record significant poll leads over Labour almost consistently throughout 2020 and 2021, with only a brief interlude in autumn 2020 where this narrowed. The poll was conducted for The Sunday Times over the past week as a review for the Scottish Prison Service found that the process of admitting transgender people to prisons should be improved in the wake of the Isla Bryson case. In the case of Wales, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the most recent YouGov poll produced on 27 February. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. 23% 22 Feb: PeoplePolling: GB News UK !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;rLabour opens up historic poll lead over Tories after days of market Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' in 'hammer blow' to city, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free, The SNP is tearing itself apart and its delicious to watch, Dumbarton police stop 'dangerous' vehicle on A82 as driver fails cannabis test, Scots on alert for snow and ice as country prepares for coldest day of the year, Row over pupils who damaged Koran raises free speech concerns Braverman, Suella Braverman to issue blasphemy guidance for schools following Quran incident in Wakefield, Snow and ice warning as coldest day of year so far to hit UK as temperatures plummet, Met Office issues weather warnings with snow and ice on way with temperatures feeling as low as, How bad are the pics?: WhatsApps show UK health secretary Matt Hancocks reaction after CCTV, WhatsApp leak reveals Hancocks 41-hour battle to save job over affair, Hancock hit out at Sunak amid fears Eat Out to Help Out spread Covid, Hancock hit out at Sunak amid concerns over Eat Out to Help Out scheme, King Charles to get holy oil from Jerusalem for coronation ceremony, Oil for UKs Charles IIIs coronation consecrated in Jerusalem, 'Pincers are closing': Ukrainian forces under pressure as Russians shell roads out of Bakhmut, Ukraine latest: Forces under severe pressure in Bakhmut, says UK military, Thousands protest over economic woes in Tunisia, Tunisians take part in UGTT labour union anti-government rally, UN nuclear chief cites cooperation with Iran on issues obstructing nuclear deal, UN nuclear chief hopeful for 'important agreements' during Iran visit, Indonesians search charred homes after fuel depot fire kills 18, At least 15 dead after Jakarta fuel depot fire engulfs neighborhood, Australian and US police seize 640m of cocaine and swap it for fake drugs to catch smuggling, Australia's 'biggest drug bust' stops 500m of cocaine from entering country, Sport Utility Vehicle for sale in Scotland, Hatchback cars for sale in Central Scotland, Cars with alloy wheels for sale in Scotland, Used cars with alloy wheels for sale in Scotland, Forgot your password? First Minister of Scotland: Runners and Riders. The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. Voting Intention: Con 28%, Lab 45% (23-25 Sep 2022) | YouGov However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. We list the most recent surveys: Wings Over Scotland poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 14 Feb 2023: Confirmation Bias for BeginnersFull results, By well over 2 to 1, respondents felt that they were being let down by the people who are supposed to speak for them. The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. Fewer than three in ten (29 per cent) respondents said they supported the [Gender Recognition Reform] bill, but more than half (54 per cent) said they opposed it. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . In the aftermath of the 2019 General Election, the Conservative party enjoyed a healthy lead in the opinion polls. The leader of the SNP has insisted her party was "not divided". YouGov | What the world thinks In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. Britain Elects. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. The Conservatives meanwhile have dropped to 21% of current vote intention, down seven points. Question asked is stated in notes field.
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